Dating problem probability

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Interestingly, a recent book by Marilyn vos Savant dealing with people's perception of probability and statistics is titled . As with other mathematical problems, it's often helpful to experiment with a problem in order to gain an insight as to what the correct answer might be.

By necessity, probabilistic experiments require computer simulation of random events.

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It must sound as an oxymoron - a computer (i.e., deterministic device) producing random events - numbers, in our case, to be exact.

See, if you can convince yourself that your computer can credibly handle this task also.

The result is a nonnegative integer that is less than 3. See Seminumerical Algorithms by Donald Knuth for more details.

I’ve often heard it asserted that the widespread presumption of an inevitable Clinton victory was itself a problem for her campaign There are lots of plausible ways in which it could have been a problem.

28 and the way the media covered the Comey story may have been affected by the presumption that Clinton was almost sure to win.

It found that 61 percent of voters expected Clinton to win, as compared to 33 percent for Trump.

The survey was conducted from early September through the election, so it captures periods in which Clinton had both smaller and larger leads.

Instead, I have a function that is invoked every second. When a new random number is needed, the seed is replaced with the result of the following operation seed = (7621 × seed 1) mod 9999 In other words, in order to get a new value of seed, multiply the old value by 7621, add 1, and, finally, take the result modulo 9999.

Each time it's invoked, it produces one of the three numbers. Now, assume, as in the example above, we need a random selection from the triple 1, 2, 3.

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